Measurement report · October 2026 · provisional, month still open

October 2026: what it cost to sell $100,000

Of the 371 tokens with a live on-chain market on Base, Ethereum or BNB Chain, the median lost 23.7% selling $100,000. 33.7% lost more than half.

Free to use with attribution. Every token named below links to its own measurements.

Provisional · month still open

Median loss
23.67%
on a $100,000 sale
Middle half
9.03%–70.83%
the middle 50% of tokens
Lost more than half
33.7%
of 371 tokens measured
Lost under 1%
4.6%
of 371 tokens measured

Cite thisCryptominium, "Exit-friction index, 2026-10 (provisional)", measured 2026-10-05. https://cryptominium.com/exit-index/2026-10

What this covers. We track 1,117 assets. 741 have a contract on a covered chain, and 553 of those returned no on-chain price when we asked — an asset whose real market is a centralised exchange, or a receipt token never meant to trade, is invisible to this measurement rather than illiquid. The index is only ever a statement about the 371 we can see.

The month is not closed yet These figures are provisional and the sweep is still adding readings. They are published as they stand because a measurement withheld until it is tidy is a measurement nobody can check — but quote the closed month, not this one. It finalises on the 1st.

01 What moved

The index rose. The tokens barely moved.

A caveat on our own headline, published because somebody checking it against the CSV would find it in an afternoon.

September 202614.53%86 tokens
October 202623.67%371 tokens
The index+9.14 ptsmedian loss

The headline went from 14.53% in September 2026 to 23.67% this month, a move of +9.14 points. That is not the same statement as “selling got harder”, and the difference matters more than the figure.

The 83 tokens measured in both months
  • 32 easier to sell
  • 26 within half a point
  • 25 harder to sell

83 tokens were measured in both months. Across those, the median change was -0.03 points: 32 improved, 25 deteriorated, and 26 stayed within half a point. So the index moved in the opposite direction to the market it is measuring. The sample grew from 86 tokens to 371, and what came in is worse than what was already there — which is what happens when a measurement reaches further down the market, not what happens when the market changes.

02 Across chains

The same ticker is not the same market

79 tickers were measured on more than one chain this month.

They are not one asset with one exit cost; they are separate pools with separate depth, and the gap between them is routinely larger than the whole spread of the index.

Ethereum 0.3% Base 98.14%

97.84 pts

Ethereum 2.01% BNB Chain 99.74%

97.73 pts

Base 7.12% Ethereum 99.97%

92.85 pts

Ethereum 5.02% BNB Chain 97.85%

92.83 pts

Base 6% BNB Chain 98.17%

92.17 pts

BNB Chain 2.99% Ethereum 93.82%

90.83 pts

Ethereum 7.31% Base 96.9%

89.59 pts

BNB Chain 4.23% Ethereum 90.58%

86.35 pts

The practical reading: the figure you have seen quoted for a token is a figure about a market in it. If you hold the bridged version, the number that applies to you is the one for the chain your balance is actually on.

03 Depth

A deep pool is not a sellable one

Pool size is the figure that is cheap to get. This is the one that was measured.

Liquidity is the figure most sites publish instead of measuring an exit, because it can be read off a contract. These tokens each carry a pool of over a million dollars and still lost a fifth or more of a $100,000 sale:

ELEPHANT on BNB Chain

In the pool
$20,675,014
Median loss
99.23%

AIOT on BNB Chain

In the pool
$8,071,808
Median loss
23.35%

O on BNB Chain

In the pool
$1,159,476
Median loss
37.27%

HUNT on Base

In the pool
$1,128,682
Median loss
31.68%

Depth is not the only thing that decides an exit. Where the depth sits in the curve, how concentrated it is in one venue, and what the router can actually reach all matter, and none of them are visible in a total. That gap is the whole reason this series exists.

04 The spread

There is no typical token

Two ends and not much of a middle, so the median says less than a median usually does.

7% of measured tokens lost under 2%, and 33.7% lost more than 50%. The distribution has two ends and not much of a middle, which means the median is a weaker summary of it than a median usually is: there is no typical token here, there are deep markets and there are thin ones.

Loss on a $100,000 sale, by how many tokens
under 1%
17 4.6%
1–2%
9 2.4%
2–5%
29 7.8%
5–10%
50 13.5%
10–25%
86 23.2%
25–50%
55 14.8%
over 50%
125 33.7%

Cheapest to leave

Dearest to leave

05 Coverage

What we could not see

Invisible to this method is not the same as illiquid.

1,117
Assets we track
everything on the site
741
Have a contract on a chain we cover
could be asked for a price
371
Returned a price we could route against
what the index is a statement about

We track 1,117 assets. 741 have a contract on a chain we cover, and 371 of those returned a price we could route against. The rest are not illiquid — they are invisible to this method. An asset whose real market is a centralised exchange, and a receipt token that was never meant to trade, land in the same bucket.

That is why the headline says “of the tokens with a live on-chain market” and never “of the top 500”. The second sentence is unsayable from this data, it is the sentence this index was originally going to use, and finding out why it was wrong is the reason the denominators are printed on every month.

06 Use it

Check it, then cite it

Every figure above comes from one table.

The series is downloadable, every token named links to its own measurement history, and the method is written down. If a number here is wrong we would rather hear it from you than not know.

Suggested citation Cryptominium Exit-Friction Report, October 2026. https://cryptominium.com/exit-index/2026-10

This report measures on-chain routing on the chains named above, at one fixed sell size. It is market information, not financial advice, and it is not a statement about any token’s value or its future.