Can It Sell? Round of 11 September 2026

Selling $100,000 of FT on Ethereum.
What actually came back?

A price is what the last trade happened at. It is not what you would receive. We asked the routers what a $100,000 sell of FT would really fetch. Here is what came back, and how the crowd guessed.

  • FTFlying Tulip
  • Ethereumthe chain
  • $100,000on paper
  • $466,046pool liquidity — the one hint

Chosen from 19 eligible tokens by a rule anyone can check. About FT →

It returned
$88,478
of $100,000 · 11.5% lost · Costly

Leaving with $100,000 in one go costs a meaningful slice of the position. The pool is a market at this size, but not a cheap one. Measured 11 September 2026 from routed quotes, at the same size we measure every token.

1player
$50,000median guess
0%expected more back
$88,478what it returned
See the full measurement Run this on a position you actually hold Today’s round →

How the round works

1 · Frozen at midnight. Just after 00:00 UTC a job picks one token the sweep measured since yesterday, and copies its figures. The answer cannot move while you are guessing.
2 · Picked by rule, not by us. Eligible tokens are the ones measured with high confidence, with a real pool, and an exit cost between 5% and 95%. The pick is the smallest hash of the day and the token. No thumb on the scale.
3 · Marked against a measurement. The figure is a routed quote we requested for a $100,000 sell — the same series every exit page shows. How it is measured →
4 · Looking it up is allowed. The token’s own exit page is public. Reading it first is using the tool, which is rather the point.

Other tools

All tools →
Compare two coins Two assets, side by side, with no verdict attached. Wallet Exit Report What a whole wallet would really realise, and how much of it nobody can price. Sellability What one position would sell for right now, after routing and liquidity.